18 agosto 2017
17 agosto 2017
Eliminating the Human, by David Byrne, with mention to António Damásio
Click to read fully at David Byrne's website.
I have a theory that much recent tech development and innovation over
the last decade or so has had an unspoken overarching agenda—it has
been about facilitating the need for LESS human interaction. It’s not a
bug—it’s a feature. We might think Amazon was about selling us books we
couldn’t find locally—and it was and what a brilliant idea—but maybe it
was also just as much about eliminating human interaction. I see a
pattern emerging in the innovative technology that has gotten the most
attention, gets the bucks and often, no surprise, ends up getting
developed and implemented. What much of this technology seems to have in
common is that it removes the need to deal with humans directly. The
tech doesn’t claim or acknowledge this as its primary goal, but it seems
to often be the consequence. I’m sort of thinking maybe it is the
primary goal. There are so many ways imagination can be manifested in
the technical sphere. Many are wonderful and seem like social goods, but
allow me a little conspiracy mongering here—an awful lot of them have
the consequence of lessening human interaction.
I suspect that we almost don’t notice this pattern because it’s hard
to imagine what an alternative focus of tech development might be. Most
of the news we get barraged with is about algorithms, AI, robots and
self driving cars, all of which fit this pattern, though there are
indeed many technological innovations underway that have nothing to do
with eliminating human interaction from our lives. CRISPR-cas9 in genetics, new films that can efficiently and cheaply cool houses and quantum computing
to name a few, but what we read about most and what touches us daily is
the trajectory towards less human involvement. Note: I don’t consider
chat rooms and product reviews as “human interaction”; they’re mediated
and filtered by a screen.
I am not saying these developments are not efficient and convenient;
this is not a judgement regarding the services and technology. I am
simply noticing a pattern and wondering if that pattern means there are
other possible roads we could be going down, and that the way we’re
going is not in fact inevitable, but is (possibly unconsciously) chosen.
Here are some examples of tech that allows for less human interaction:
Online ordering and home delivery- Online ordering is hugely convenient. Amazon, FreshDirect, Instacart, etc. have not just cut out interactions at bookstores and checkout lines, they have eliminated ALL human interaction barring the (often paid) online recommendations. New York has had home take-out delivery for decades—one simply phones the local take-out place—but New York also has never had a shortage of random human interaction.
Online ordering and home delivery- Online ordering is hugely convenient. Amazon, FreshDirect, Instacart, etc. have not just cut out interactions at bookstores and checkout lines, they have eliminated ALL human interaction barring the (often paid) online recommendations. New York has had home take-out delivery for decades—one simply phones the local take-out place—but New York also has never had a shortage of random human interaction.
Here’s an Amazon warehouse in Peterborough, Cambridge. Increasingly
the picking is done by a combination of humans working with robots. (...)
Gig Jobs- TaskRabbit and other services—there are people who perform these tasks in the gig economy, but as a client one does not necessarily have to interact with them in a meaningful way.
Airbnb- There is no check-in desk interaction; often there is no human contact at all.
Digital music- Downloads and streaming—there is no
physical store, of course, so there are no snobby, know-it-all clerks to
deal with. Whew, you might say. There are algorithmic recommendations
on some services so you don’t even have to discuss music with your
friends to know what they like—the service knows what they like, and you
can know too without actually talking to them. Is music as a kind of
social glue and lubricant also being eliminated?
Car driver apps- There is minimal interaction—one
doesn’t have to tell the driver the address, the preferred route or
interact while paying the check.
Driverless cars- In one sense, if you’re out with
your friends, not having one of you drive means more time to chat. Or
drink. Very nice. But driverless tech is also very much aimed at
eliminating taxi drivers, truck drivers, delivery drivers and many
others. There are huge advantages to eliminating humans
here—theoretically machines should drive more safely than humans—so
there might be fewer accidents and fatalities. The disadvantages include
massive job loss. But that’s another subject. What I’m seeing here is
the consistent “eliminating the human” pattern.
Automated checkout- Eatsa
is a new version of the Automat, a once popular “restaurant” with no
visible staff. My local CVS has been training their staff to help us
learn to use the checkout machines which will replace them. At the same
time, they are training their customers to do the work of the cashiers.
Amazon has been testing stores—even grocery stores!—with automated
shopping. They’re called Amazon Go. If the items are placed perfectly on
the shelves, then sensors know what you’ve picked up, and you can
simply walk out with your “purchases” without any human contact. But they still need to get quite a few bugs out.
At some airports, one orders and pays via tablets—that
system has some bugs in it too. I watched a lot of people simply walk
away in frustration, but those bugs will get sorted someday soon.
Online Art Sales- Art is increasingly being sold online, so one can avoid any possible awkward encounters with intimidating gallery staff.
eBay- “Auctions” without the human drama and excitement.
AI- AI is often (though not always) truly better at decision-making than humans. In some areas, we might expect this. For example, AI will suggest the fastest route on a map accounting for traffic and distance while we as humans wouldn’t have the time to check all that traffic data, and we’d be prone to taking our tried and true route. But some less expected areas where AI is better than humans are opening up. As Siddhartha Mukherjee writes in The New Yorker, AI is getting better at spotting melanomas than many doctors. Much routine legal work will soon be done by computer programs and financial assessments are now being done by machines.
Robot workforce- A little distinct from AI, robots are physical machines. Factories increasingly have fewer and fewer workers, which means no personalities to deal with, no workers agitating for overtime, and no illnesses. Using robots avoids an employer’s need to think about worker's comp/liability, healthcare, social security and medicare taxes and unemployment benefits.
AI- AI is often (though not always) truly better at decision-making than humans. In some areas, we might expect this. For example, AI will suggest the fastest route on a map accounting for traffic and distance while we as humans wouldn’t have the time to check all that traffic data, and we’d be prone to taking our tried and true route. But some less expected areas where AI is better than humans are opening up. As Siddhartha Mukherjee writes in The New Yorker, AI is getting better at spotting melanomas than many doctors. Much routine legal work will soon be done by computer programs and financial assessments are now being done by machines.
Robot workforce- A little distinct from AI, robots are physical machines. Factories increasingly have fewer and fewer workers, which means no personalities to deal with, no workers agitating for overtime, and no illnesses. Using robots avoids an employer’s need to think about worker's comp/liability, healthcare, social security and medicare taxes and unemployment benefits.
Personal assistants- Google Home and Amazon
Echo—with improved speech recognition, one can increasingly talk to a
machine rather than a person. (There is the attendant question of
whether these machines are always listening and possibly recording or at
least tabulating one’s speech. Even when not officially addressed, an
“offline” discussion might be used to improve a recommendation, for
example). Amusing stories abound as the bugs get worked out. The child
who says “Alexa, I want a dollhouse”... and lo and behold the parents
find one in their cart. When this story became an online viral news
item, the news segment replayed the girl’s request, and soon a lot of people with Amazon Echos had dollhouses in their carts.
Data analysis of behavior- Improvements and
innovations in crunching massive amounts of data mean that patterns can
be recognized where they weren’t seen previously. “Trust the data, not
your lying eyes.” We will come to trust the gleanings from data
crunching more than we do ourselves and our human colleagues and
friends.
Video games (and VR)- Yes, some online games are
interactive—but most are played in a room by one person jacked into the
game—the interaction is virtual.
Automated high-speed stock buying and selling- A machine crunching huge amounts of data can spot trends and patterns quickly and act on them faster than a person can.
MOOCS- Online education, with no direct teacher interaction.
MOOCS- Online education, with no direct teacher interaction.
Lastly, "Social" media- social “interaction” that isn’t really social.
While the appearance on social networks is one of connection—as
Facebook and others frequently claim—the fact is a lot of social media
is a simulation of real social connection. As has been in
evidence recently, social media actually increases divisions amongst us
by amplifying echo effects and allowing us to live in cognitive bubbles.
We are fed what we already like or what our similarly inclined friends
like… or more likely now what someone has payed for us to see in an ad
that mimics content. In this way, we actually become less connected
except to those in our group.
Social networks also increase envy and unhappiness. From a recent study:
“The challenge is that most of the work on social interaction has
been conducted using ‘real world,’ face-to-face social networks, in
contrast to the types of online relationships that are increasingly
common.
Overall, our results showed that, while real-world social
networks were positively associated with overall well-being, the use of
Facebook was negatively associated with overall well-being. These
results were particularly strong for mental health; most measures of
Facebook use in one year predicted a decrease in mental health in a
later year. We found consistently that both liking others’ content and
clicking links significantly predicted a subsequent reduction in
self-reported physical health, mental health, and life satisfaction.”
While claiming to connect us, the sad and surely unintended effect is
that they also drive us apart. This, in my opinion, is partly due to
pandering to the pleasure one gets from only hearing things you agree
with, but it’s also because the social connection was never real, it was
virtual—not between real people but between their online selves.
The counterargument to the dangers of social media has been “look at
Arab Spring”. Yes, social media was a much used tool to spread news and
to alert, but can social media be credited with facilitating the
uprising? The answer is complicated, and there are various points of
view.
It seems that an equally important factor in the rise and
manifestation was how well-organized the groups were. And we can’t
forget that it’s a two way street—social media was also used by the
oppressive regimes to tack down and locate the resistance.
“‘High risk’ social activism requires deep roots and strong ties.
But surely the least interesting fact about them is that some of the
protesters may (or may not) have at one point or another employed some
of the tools of the new media to communicate with one another. Please.
People protested and brought down governments before Facebook was
invented. They did it before the Internet came along. Barely anyone in
East Germany in the nineteen-eighties had a phone—and they ended up with
hundreds of thousands of people in central Leipzig and brought down a
regime that we all thought would last another hundred years—and in the
French Revolution the crowd in the streets spoke to one another with
that strange, today largely unknown instrument known as the human voice.
People with a grievance will always find ways to communicate with each
other. How they choose to do it is less interesting, in the end, than
why they were driven to do it in the first place.”
Many transformative movements in the past succeed based on leaders,
agreed upon principles and organization. Although social media is a
great tool for rallying people and bypassing government channels, it
does not guarantee eventual success.
Social media is not really social—ticking boxes and having followers
and getting feeds is NOT being social—it's a screen simulation of human
interaction. Human interaction is much more nuanced and complicated than
what happens online. Engineers like things that are quantifiable.
Smells, gestures, expression, tone of voice, etc. etc.—in short, all the
various ways we communicate are VERY hard to quantify, and those are often how we tell if someone likes us or not.
Why this focus on bypassing humans?
There are lots of reasons one might want to avoid human interaction:
1. Human interaction is perceived as complicated, inefficient, noisy and slow.
2. Less human interaction makes for cheaper manufacturing, services
and exchange. It’s good, at least in the short run, for the bosses,
owners and investors.
3. We’re told that automation means we won’t have to work at menial
tasks any more. We’ll have more leisure time—though how we’ll make a
living is a looming question.
4. Engineers and coders as people are often less than comfortable
with human interaction, so naturally they are making a world that is
more accommodating to themselves.
This last one might be a bit contentious, but hear me out. My theory
is that much tech was coded and created by folks somewhere on the
spectrum (I should know—I’m different now, but I used to find most
social interactions terrifying). Therefore, for those of us who used to
or who do find human interactions awkward and uncomfortable, there would
naturally be an unconscious drive to make our own lives more
comfortable—why wouldn’t we? One way for an engineer to do that would be
to remove as much human interaction from their life, and therefore also
our lives, as possible. Part of something being “frictionless” is
getting the human part out of the way.
Humans are capricious, erratic, emotional, irrational and biased in
what sometimes seem like counterproductive ways. Some claim that the
survival of humans depends on us giving some control over to the
machines—we seem to be botching the CO2 emission control issue pretty
badly, for example. It often seems that our emotional, quick-thinking
and selfish nature will be our downfall. There are lots of arguments for
getting humans out of the equation, but many might not admit that it is
a conscious goal. The stated goal might be finding melanomas or
ordering groceries, not eliminating human interaction.
I’m also not saying that any of these apps and tech are not hugely
convenient, clever or efficient. I use many of them. But from the
automated checkout lines to self-driving cars, I see a trend that is
accelerating, and I sense that as it does, human interaction will become
rarer and therefore increasingly more difficult for people—not just
people on the spectrum, but for all of us.
Is there a downside?
Obviously jobs are a big question mark. When people become superfluous, what do they do for a living? Two MIT faculty members claim that productivity has become “decoupled” from wages and employment. We’re becoming more efficient but don’t need as many people.
My dad was an electrical engineer—I love the engineer's’ way of
looking at the world. I myself applied to both art school AND to
engineering school (my frustration was that there was little or no
cross-pollination. I was told at the time that taking classes in both
disciplines would be VERY difficult). I am familiar with and enjoy both
the engineer's mindset and the arty mindset (and I’ve heard that now
mixing one’s studies is not as hard as it used to be).
The point is not that making a world to accommodate oneself is bad,
but that when one has as much power over the rest of the world as the
tech sector does, over folks who don’t naturally share its worldview,
then there is a risk of a strange imbalance. The tech world is predominantly male—very
much so. Testosterone combined with a drive to eliminate as much
interaction with real humans as possible—do the math, and there’s the
future.
We’ve gotten used to service personnel and staff who have no interest
or participation in the businesses where they work. They have no
incentive to make the products or the services better. This is a long
legacy of the assembly line, standardising, franchising and other
practices that increase efficiency and lower costs. It’s a small step
then from a worker that doesn’t care to a robot. To consumers, it
doesn’t seem like a big loss.
Those who oversee the AI and robots will, not coincidentally, make a
lot of money as this trend towards less human interaction continues and
accelerates—as many of the products produced above are hugely and
addictively convenient. Google, Facebook and other companies are
powerful and yes, innovative, but the innovation curiously seems to have
had an invisible trajectory. Our imaginations are constrained by who
and what we are. We are biased in our drives, which in some ways is
good, but maybe some diversity in what influences the world might be
reasonable and may be beneficial to all.
To repeat what I wrote above—humans are capricious, erratic,
emotional, irrational and biased in what sometimes seem like
counterproductive ways. I’d argue that though those might seem like
liabilities, many of those attributes actually work in our favor. Many
of our emotional responses have evolved over millennia, and they are
based on the probability that our responses, often prodded by an
emotion, will more likely than not offer the best way to deal with a
situation.
Neuroscientist António Damásio
wrote about a patient he called Elliot, who had damage to his frontal
lobe that made him unemotional. In all other respects he was
fine—intelligent, healthy—but emotionally he was Spock. Elliot couldn’t
make decisions. He’d waffle endlessly over details. Damásio concluded
that though we think decision-making is rational and machinelike, it’s
our emotions that enable us to actually decide.
With humans being somewhat unpredictable (well, until an algorithm
completely removes that illusion), we get the benefit of surprises,
happy accidents and unexpected connections and intuitions. Interaction,
cooperation and collaboration with others multiplies those
opportunities.
We’re a social species—we benefit from passing discoveries on, and we
benefit from our tendency to cooperate to achieve what we cannot alone.
In his book, Sapiens, Yuval Harari claims this is what allowed us to be so successful.
He also claims that this cooperation was often facilitated by a
possibility to believe in “fictions” such as nations, money, religions
and legal institutions. Machines don’t believe in fictions, or not yet
anyway. That’s not to say they won’t surpass us, but if machines are
designed to be mainly self-interested, they may hit a roadblock. If less
human interaction enables us to forget how to cooperate, then we lose
our advantage.
Our random accidents and odd behaviors are fun—they make life
enjoyable. I’m wondering what we’re left with when there are fewer and
fewer human interactions. Remove humans from the equation and we are
less complete as people or as a society. “We” do not exist as isolated
individuals—we as individuals are inhabitants of networks, we are
relationships. That is how we prosper and thrive.
Etiquetas:
it's in my nature,
Men,
portugal,
Technotronic
07 agosto 2017
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